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Compositional Shift Analysis of Gujarat Livestock Population


Mahammadhusen Khorajiya, R. L. Shiyani, N. J. Ardeshna, M. G. Dhandhalya and B. Swaminathan



Indian Journal of Economics and Development
Year : 2018, Volume : 14, Issue : 2
First page : ( 348) Last page : ( 353) 
Print ISSN : 2277-5412. Online ISSN : 2322-0430.
Article DOI : 10.5958/2322-0430.2018.00141.5

Compositional Shift Analysis of Gujarat Livestock Population

Khorajiya Mahammadhusen*, Shiyani R.L., Ardeshna N.J., Dhandhalya M.G., Swaminathan B.

Department of Agricultural Economics, Junagadh Agricultural University, Junagadh-362001 (Gujarat)

*Corresponding Author’s e-mail:

JEL Codes Q01, Q10, Q18, Q56.

Online published on 22 June, 2018.


Over the decades, the livestock sector has grown tremendously in India owing to the country’s predominant livestock population and changes in the composition of livestock population. Livestock population has undergone changes continuously over time owing to numerous economic, technological, and environmental factors. It was, therefore, necessary to study the changes in the livestock compositions in order to gain an understanding of the dynamics of the changes over a different period of time. The findings of the study showed that the share of cattle and sheep population have declined while the share of buffalo has increased in total livestock population. Interestingly, goat population was found stagnant in Gujarat. The results of Transitional Probability Matrix (TPM) revealed that buffalo milch and indigenous in milk population retained higher retention probability. Furthermore, the projected data of bovine population revealed that crossbred and indigenous cow population is likely to set increased. On the contrary, buffalo in milk and milch population is anticipated to show a downward trend in projected period.

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